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============================================== Sunday,
January 29, 2012
Review of the New WTP - Well Tempered Progression by Izak Matatya
Dear Let's Talk Winning subscribers, customers,
friends,
Well, what can I say?
WTP - Well Tempered Progression announced 4 days ago
is a real success. I'm getting nothing but positive feedback and
reviews and I'd like to share them with you in this newsletter.
Here are some directly from the
discussion forum:
"Based on the early bird special Izak was offering on WTP
and his no-questions-asked refund policy I decided to spend the $90 to get
the system. I received my copy promptly and probably didn't spend more than
an hour digesting the document that explains how the progression works. As
soon as I felt confident in my understanding of the progression, I wanted to
test some of my own recorded shoes to see if the results proved promising.
I want to emphasize that I am totally aware that I have not done exhaustive
testing on many of my own shoes. Based on the many simulations Izak provides
with the system which covers several variations or approaches to applying
the system, I felt he did a thorough job of covering his bases. And like the
subject of this post states, this is a preliminary analysis.
1. The first 5 shoes I tested were the first shoes I ever recorded at
Harrah's casino in Reno, NV. The criteria I used to run the test included
the following:
a) My base unit would be $10
b) My session bankroll would be $1000
c) My maximum bet would be 50 units
I came up with this criteria based on the results I saw in the many examples
Izak provides in the WTP documentation. Also I used a bet selection based on
derived Baccarat Roads which seemed to provide a higher win/loss ratio over
the various bet selections Izak used in his examples. I figured this would
give me a pretty good chance of getting through my test unscathed if what
Izak was claiming was true.
Summary of first 5 Harrah's shoes:
a) Total hands played = 338
b) Hands won = 169, Hands lost = 169, Win rate = 50%
c) Biggest bet = 30 units
d) Highest drawdown = $366
e) Total units won = 231.75 or $2,317.50
f) Average units per shoe = 46.35
Not a bad return on a $1000 session bankroll.
Based on what I was seeing, I decided to go downtown to my favorite casino,
the Silver Legacy which is in Reno, NV. I used the same criteria for playing
as outlined above. I ended up playing 2 1/2 shoes before I quit and this is
what happened:
I decided to quit after the 34th hand of the third shoe which was a win. My
total winnings after commissions was $767.00. I stayed around long enough to
finish recording the third shoe, tipped the dealer $25 and walked with
$742.00. The way I look at it that's a 74.2% return on my $1000 investment
in a little over 3 hours time. My bet selection method yielded 77 wins and
78 losses which is a 49.68% win rate. My biggest bet was 30 units and my
highest drawdown was $500. Winning 76.7 units in approximately 2 1/2 shoes
works out to a shoe win average of 30.68 units per shoe. I know it's not a
long term average but I'm slowly developing some confidence in this system
which I have never really experienced before with any other system I have
used. WTP is looking very much like a truly consistent winning system.
Note: If I had played completely to the end of the 3rd shoe, my total
winnings would have been $1,128.00 and my average units per shoe would have
been 37.6 units.
I believe that the progression Izak has developed is unique and powerful.
Make no mistake, I believe that any "good" system will require a reasonably
sized bankroll to succeed. By reasonable for this system, I personally feel
that would mean a bankroll between $1500 and $2000. I think to start with
only $100 or $200 would be a mistake. Izak can correct me if he feels I am
off on this assessment. Gambling is a strange endeavor. I've seen people
start with practically nothing and win thousands of dollars. And, on the
other side of the coin, I've seen people buy in for $20,000 and lose it all
in 30 minutes.
Based on what I've seen so far, I believe that WTP has incredible potential
and deserves checking out. It's not a complicated system but I think you'll
find the progression itself unlike anything you've seen before. And, one
more thing I noticed in the examples Izak provides, if you do abandon runs
as you will occasionally do, your overall profitability doesn't suffer as it
does in other systems I have seen.
I know this sounds like a TV ad but for the price and the guarantee Izak is
willing to give you, you really risk nothing and have the potential to gain
immensely. I seriously doubt I will regret making the decision I did."
"My examples represent much fewer shoes than Izak is
showing in his simulations. When you take a representative time-slice over a
much longer period of time many factors come into play and ups and downs
take bigger swings. To answer the 2nd part of your post, the way WTP is set
up to succeed, one has to bet every hand. I believe all of Izak's examples
start betting from the very first decision out of the shoe and then a bet is
placed every hand thereafter. In my case, in the beginning I always sit out
a minimum of 4 hands before I start betting. Sometimes I have to wait a few
more than 4 because of the way I integrate the Baccarat Roads into my bet
selection. But once I start betting, I bet every hand until I decide to end
my playing session. Also, I continue from one shoe to the next as if it's
one giant shoe. I place a bet on the first hand out of each succeeding shoe
as if it was a continuation from the last hand in the preceeding shoe.
I finished testing 10 consecutive shoes from my Harrah's test and here is a
summary of the results:
I ended up having to abandon 1 run in shoe 6 which proved to be a tough nut
to crack. As a result, my overall profitability suffered slightly and
reduced by $991.00 and left me with $1,384.50. It should be obvious that
this would reduce my overall average units per shoe.
But by the end of 10 complete shoes, I had recovered my $991.00 loss because
of the abandoned run and added substantially to my total. I ended up with
$3,235.00 for 10 shoes. And remember, I am using a $10 base unit to start my
betting session. So even with the abandoned run, my units per shoe average
is 32.35 which is better than anything I ever hoped to achieve. After 10
shoes, my draw down is still at $366.00. The profit I show as $3,235.00 is
AFTER deducting Banker commissions of $425.00. I've won 323 hands and lost
344 hands which is a win rate of 48.43%. I still think this high percentage
of wins is attributable to my bet selection. Even with a different bet
selection and a lower win percentage WTP will still turn respectable profits
consistently.
I also went downtown to play live and played 4 shoes. It's Chinese New Year
and my favorite casino (Silver Legacy) plays it up big for the benefit of
the large Asian contingent of players they attract. They had 4 tables open
which is unusual for them. Anyway, here is a breakdown of how I did last
night playing 4 shoes:
Base bet - $10
Buy in - $1000.00
Total won - $1,098.50 (I tipped the dealer $50 out of that)
Highest draw down - $39.50 (This really impressed me)
Hands won - 115
Hands lost - 114 (Win rate 50.22%)
Commission paid - $91.50
Total runs completed - 71
Note: I have never done this well in this casino over the last 6-7 years I
have played here. I've definitely started to notice that the pit bosses who
know me well have started to pay more attention to what I am doing. I use my
own specially designed score cards which I created specifically for WTP and
I seriously doubt anyone could figure out what I am doing by looking over my
shoulder. Even if the casino took a picture of my score card with their "eye
in the sky" I don't think they could figure out what I am doing.
Below is a summary of the 71 winning runs. The first column of numbers is
the total units won and the second column is the number of hands needed to
play to complete the run with a profit.
Won Hands
1 1
1 1
1 4
1 1
1 2
1 1
1 2
1 2
1 1
1 1
1 2
1 1
1 2
1 4
1 5
1 1
1 1
1 1
3 10
2 6
1 1
1 1
1 2
1 1
1 1
1 1
2 6
1 1
1 1
5 10
3 9
1 1
1 1
1 2
1 1
1 5
1 1
7 10
2 8
1 2
1 1
1 2
1 2
1 4
7 9
1 2
1 1
14 14
2 6
1 1
4 8
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 2
1 2
1 4
5 13
1 2
1 2
1 2
1 2
4 8
1 2
3 9
1 1
1 5
1 2
1 2
1 2
This averages out to a completed run every 3.21 hands. Also notice that the
number of units won when completing a run varies. In this particular series,
I actually won 14 units in 1 run. So, keep in mind a completed run does not
mean that you are only gaining 1 unit profit (minus commission). And if you
look closely at the results above, you should notice that there is a fairly
consistent correlation between the number of hands to complete a run and the
number of units won. Generally the longer the run, the more units won when
the run is completed.
I believe that I have provided considerable information regarding what kind
of results I'm getting with WTP. The basic rules for implementing the unique
progression devised in this system are really not complicated at all but as
with any new concept it takes a little effort and practice to properly
understand it and commit it to memory. And because you can use just about
any bet selection out there and can change the parameters as far as your max
bet and loss limits, there is a lot of flexibility in how you use the
knowledge you will gain.
Here are my closing words of advice:
"No matter how well a system has been designed, if it is not learned
thoroughly and executed properly, you can almost be guaranteed that you will
not win with it and will come to the conclusion that it is worthless."
If you seriously give WTP a try and take it slow, I seriously doubt that
most of you will fail to find it rewarding. That's my advice to everyone who
is curious about this system. If you're letting the idea of spending $90
make you hesitant to get it then you probably shouldn't be considering
gambling as a casual sideline or a serious profession. And before anyone is
offended by what I said, I want you to know that I have asked myself the
same question many times over the years. I've lost more money than I care to
think about and a couple of times I started to tell myself that there is no
such thing as a winning system. Many people still tout that as gambling
gospel on this and many other forums. I'm just glad that I stuck around long
enough to come across this system. I believe that Izak discovered something
very worthwhile and is willing to share it at a bargain of a price. Even at
$550, it's absolutely worth it.
And, just in case anyone out there thinks that Izak may be rewarding me in
any way to say everything I've said regarding WTP, you would be very wrong.
The best of luck to everyone!"
Those are extremely encouraging reviews. I thank
the poster for the feedback.
As usual, your full
satisfaction is guaranteed with full purchase and unconditional money back
guarantee within 30 days of your purchase, no strings attached.
Click
here to order for an email
delivery of the system. For only $20 extra, you can have a
printout mailed to your address.
Wishing you all the best,
Izak
www.letstalkwinning.com
email:
webmaster@letstalkwinning.com
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